MARCH CLOSING

80-84-100 arr ? apa ni ? ni alamat condo summary aku utk rujukan aku masa hadapan... since aku ada floating lagi (+ve) kat audjpy (dari last week) ej chfjpy n gj... aku anggap ni last trade aku utk bulan ni....

semua tgh +ve turun naik n sl move +ve already... semua msk base on sunday bar n disebabkan weekly diorang seiring dgn position aku... aku try hold selagi mampu...

sama ada +ve SL or TP.... once semua clear kita jumpa trade baru... see u cappalz !!

GLAMOUR GILA MAMAT NI

DUNIA

Ketika krisis kewangan dunia berlaku - George Soros kaut keuntungan

GEORGE SOROS

JAMES H. SIMONS

JOHN A. PAULSON

SYDNEY - Seorang pengurus dana lindung nilai, George Soros yang meramalkan krisis kredit global merupakan antara ahli perniagaan yang mengaut keuntungan dalam krisis kewangan, lapor sebuah akhbar semalam.

Soros menyatakan ramalannya berhubung kredit global itu menyebabkan dia mampu mengendalikan dana pelaburan miliknya, Quantun berdepan krisis kewangan.

Beberapa pelabur lain gagal untuk mengambil berat ramalannya dan keputusan Soros untuk keluar dari persaraan pada 2007 dan menguruskan dana menyebabkan dia memperoleh pendapatan AS$2.9 bilion (RM10.50 bilion).

Ketika krisis kewangan terus mencengkam dunia, Soros yang berumur 78 tahun masih mampu memperoleh AS$1.1 bilion (RM3.98 bilion) pada tahun lalu.

"Ia dalam satu arah, kemuncak dalam kehidupan kerja saya," katanya kepada akhbar The Australian.

Dia pernah dilabel penyangak mata wang oleh bekas Perdana Menteri, Tun Dr. Mahathir Mohamd ketika krisis kewangan berlaku pada 1997-1998 di Asia.

Soros merupakan antara 25 pengurus dana lindung nilai di Wall Street yang berjaya mengharungi krisis kredit global.

Menurut majalah Institutional Investor's Alpha, pengurus-pengurus itu membuat keuntungan dengan melakukan dagangan melebihi risiko di pasaran.

Bekas profesor matematik, James H. Simons yang membuat keuntungan berbilion-bilion dalam dana lindung nilai Renaissance Technologies memperoleh AS$2.5 bilion (RM9.06 bilion).

Seorang pelabur, John A. Paulson yang memperoleh kekayaan dengan membuat spekulasi harga rumah berada di tempat kedua dengan pendapatan AS$2 bilion (RM7.25 bilion).

"Dalam satu tahun, ketika semua pelaburan kehilangan wang, kami adalah seperti oasis," kata Paulson.

Paulson menyatakan bayaran tinggi yang diperolehnya adalah kerana dia merupakan pelabur terbesar dalam dananya.

Menurutnya, dia juga tidak menerima bonus. - Agensi

RUJUKAN : http://www.kosmo.com.my/kosmo/arkib.asp?y=2009&dt=0327&pub=Kosmo&sec=Dunia&pg=du_04.htm

LUCKY OR ANALYSIS ?

lucky atau analisis... ? itu yg bermain dalam kepala aku skrg selepas dua hari dalam kepeningan melihat floating -VE

dua pair ni aku main daily pin bar breakout.... ej kena sl n re-enter atas dasar anti-hedge sistem yg mana aku jarang2 gunakan....aj pulak memang dok floating n sekarang ni baru nak try2 kat point yg aku amik...

problem aku (lost rabu) sepatutnya dah selesai dgn small profit sekiranya aku ikut plan asal... tapi first partial aku amik masa BE (EJ) n first tp aku partialkan lagi position aku yg menjadikan skrg ni terlalulah kecil lotnya yg sedang mengejar tp2....

anyway aku tetap bersyukur apa yg aku dpt ari ni... it better BE daripada lost.... learn something !!

BREAKOUT 25/03/09

Kelongkang kita yop.... overal rugi hari nie.... almost 60% profit last week bg balik ahaks... ada 2 floating lagi kat ej ngn audjpy.... last 2 trade utk this week.... kalau kena sl aku dapat capital aku last week balik... kalau kena tp aku dapat some increament utk this week... im done for this weeks.... see u cappalz next sunday bar on monday...

BREAKOUT 25/03/09

ermm ari ni layan breakout ngn daily IB... agak banyak sebenarnya 7 pair ni... tgk jer la nanti mlm ni or ptg ni apa jadi... kelongkang ker apa ker... hihihih

SUNDAY BAR 23/03/09

Result ari ni kurang memberangsangkan.... just dapat increament 1.5% dari capital... semua actually profit kecuali eu n gj PO BUY sbbnya break some rules... first enter walaupun market dah move... 2nd play dgn small TF S&R yg konon2nya takut kena spike.... 3rd tak take profit separuh kat first tp (sbb bila PO dah jauh first tp jadi bawah 20pips)... 4th tak cut lose separuh n re-po n terpaksalah terima hakikat lose full lot...

gj masih ada masalah yg sama... 1st enter walaupun market dah move.... but then gj ada baik sikit sbb take lost separuh masa -50pips n buruknya tak re-po.... take all profit kat first tp n result dapatlah some pips sbb separuh dah accept lose....

since yg lain walapun profit tetapi kebanyakkannya amik separuh kat first tp n just 2 trade yg dpt max tp... untung yg dapat increament dalam 10% dari capital.... cuma ada satu position chfjpy last week kena sl n overall ada la 1.5% ari ni...

utk chfjpy kena sl sbb enter secara agresif selepas BEOB buat revesal dlm 50% fibo... nasib tak baik dia pergi 100% betul2 kat sl.... anyway just belajar... time2 kena camnie ler rasa syukur bila kita bukak order dgn mm yg betul....

so esk hari cuti aku utk trading since beberapa bulan ni aku asik terkena sl bila main hari selasa.... ok cappalz jumpa rabu....

SUNDAY BAR 23/03/09

kita jumpa isnin lagi.... sunday bar / breaking rule day ? jom tgk ptg/mlm sat g apa dia bg.... ej ngn gj aku dah terlepas bas n aku takmo masuk dah.... itu org kata rezeki pg kol 8 ngn kol 10 lain ahaks... takpa lah... see u back cappalz !!

23 MARCH - 27 MARCH '09

Ok jom tgk apa kita ada minggu ni.... 3 pair ni aku nampak berpotensi utk dipermainkan.... 3 cukup la kot... kalau ada lagi maybe tgh2 jalan nanti....

ERMMM ECAD... lama tak layan pair ni... start dgn daily TF... kita ada two high bar (THB) kat daily n dia sangkut kat weekly 61.8% FIBO area... kalau breakout maybe kita jumpa 100% kat 1.7500 yg mana kat sana ada THB yg terbentuk bulan 12'08....

just in case kalau false breakout ada 4 point @ 4 take partial area yg kena hati2 sbb we gonna see weekly traffic....

JOM KITA TGK CABLE kita lak.... last 3 week kita ada 3 candle (FROM J16) Left eye, Pinocchio n retest back untuk buat right eye... ermmm boleh dikatakan perfect...

so utk minggu ni kita ada TBH kat GU daily... same as ECAD... but then yg ni utk short kena bebetul diperhatikan sbb kita main weekly bullish shadow kalau "Pinocchio" weekly berkerja dgn baik...

CHFJPY... ermm pair ni agak pelik sikit sbb dia ni lalang kat tgh padang pasir... berayun ikut suka dia jer.... anyway secara teknikalnya dia nak membentuk "Pinocchio"... yg membimbangkan dia sangkut kat mata kiri dgn shadow yg tak cukup panjang dkt weekly 61.8% last swing fibo yg mana berbatang2 candle sangkut kat sana.....

breakout BEOB paling sesuai utk main benda ni tetapi R&R tak berapa cantik plus traffic.... let see what we get this week....

apa2 pon cam biasa lah... esk layan sunday bar maybe kat gchf ecad chfjpy gu gj eu n ej.... happy pips to u cappalz... semoga ahaks !!

15TH MARCH CLOSING

Aku cuba mememorikan sejarah forex aku kat sini.... maklumlah newbiee...

FX SUMMARY LABEL ni aku just nak tgk berapa jauh aku leh pi dalam bidang ni... kadang2 kita pandang remeh benda2 macam ni... pada aku blog ni satu cara utk aku lebih disiplin...

kalau dulu aku tak da blog.... aku belasah jer trade... but then bila dah ada... aku lebih berhati2 kerana setiap trade yg ke longkang terpaksa aku tulis gak dalam ni.... so semoga wujudnya blog ni aku lebih berkeyakinan dalam trading utk bekal masa depan...

anyway aku main sunday bar arini... overal memberangsangkan.... n hari ini aku dapat target aku utk bulan ni... bermula dari awal bulan... jatuh teruk minggu pertama n skrg aku dah cross 20% increment utk bulan ni..

so start today onward aku kena lebih berhati2 dalam order utk mengekalkan percentage ni sehingga hujung bulan... ok see u cappalz on first april summary....

IB20HRS

Benda ni masih dalam percubaan seperti apa yg aku mention sebelum ni... hari ni fully 20hrsib cuma satu shj trade yg lain (EG).... so let see what gonna happend !!

EGH4-130309

Alamak.... 4 pg sudah... my first trade utk jumaat... signal tak berapa cantik sbb H4.... aku kategori kan B setup....

kalau market follow aku... tp1 aku akan take out 2/3 profit n the rest tp3 with BE... kalau tak kena sl around 80 pips with is 1:1 R&R....

let see what we get tomorrow.... jumpa esk...

J16

Kalau refer balik post aku....

TAJUK

Friday, March 6, 2009

BoLeh UntunG Ker ?

Untuk jangka masa panjang ( D1 / W1 / MN TF ) aku copy dari J16 Thread...

-FIBO
-S&R
-BAR FORMATION
-LOCATION
-PA

RUJUKAN
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=2331

first thx to JAMES coz the superb setup n it totally need ur afford... this what I mention b4... all u can get free in forex learning if u really want it...

KENAPA AKU AMIK TRADE NI ?

FIBO & LOCATION
tgk chart di atas... weekly fibo untuk point semalam close betul2 dekat 61.8%... ada 2 kemungkinan kat sini... sama ada naik kalau tak lepas atau turun ke 100% kalau dia breakout....

S&R
0.8900 adalah S&R utk MN TF dan ermm big ROUND NUMBER....

BAR FORMATION
kena buy ? disebabkan bar formation utk daily bg signal utk buy... signal dia Double Bar Low Higher Close "DBHLC" dekat swing low... dua candle yg mempunyai lower yg sama (perbezaan dalam lingkungan 5pips) dan candle no2 tutup market lebih tinggi dari candle no1... (refer daily chart)

PA (Pergerakan harga atau physcology market)
Kita ada 4 hari @ 4 candle (D1 TF) market try break kat 0.8900 tak lepas dan kesimpulan dia kalau lepas maknanya kelaut la... kat sini pentingnya SL kita... cari point terbaik just few pips bawah point tersebut n PO SELL STOP just incase candle formation fail....

mana nak start buy ?
ada 2 tempat yg sesuai kita PO BUY kan... first tunggu "DBHLC" buat retracement n PO BUY STOP just 10 pips drpd "DBHLC".... cara ni lebih selamat sbb once dia break... 99% green pips kita punya.... 2nd enter buy selepas market retrace betul2 dkt 50% fibo "DBHLC"... cara yg 2nd ni agak bahaya tetapi boleh mengurangkan SL... ada baik buruk dedua tempat ni.... nak best lagi enter jer dedua ahaks....

mana nak exit profit?
macam biasa.. tarik fibo... exit separuh kat 50%/61.8% n selebihnya move to BE n tgk balik PA utk memaximumkan profit.... (chart cadchf2)

setup J16 susah nak jumpa... tapi sekali jumpa memang best... apa yg bestnya ? dgn mm yg betul aku dpt grow 10% acct aku just 1 trade iaitu cadchf pada hari ni.... ahaks

SPECIAL BREAKOUT

Macam yg aku mention sebelum ni pasal candle 20:00 hrs H4 TF.... benda ni still under testing n data dtg dari IBFX... tapi satu peragai busuk aku... aku tak suka buat testing dekat demo sbb biasanya aku akan abaikan... ahaks

HOW TO PLACE UR PO ?

mcm BREAKOUT jugak... PO sell stop dijadikan SL utk buy stop dan sebaliknya.... point utk enter kena abaikan segala jenis tools... maknanya takda S&R n tak da ROUND NUMBER (RN).... just entet berpandukan formula ni (high + spread n bundarkan utk PO BUY n lower - spread n bundarkan utk PO SELL)

cth IBFX 20:00 H4 candle...
high 1.1353 low 1.1253 n spead 8 so maknanya PO BUY 1.1370 n PO SELL 1.1240
so SL kenalah 130pips n pepandailah suitkan dgn mm...

HOW TO EXIT PROFIT ?

first sekali kena tgk trend market... kalau ikut trend... first touch 70% dari jumlah pips candle kena tutup 2/3 position n yg lebihnya move to BE.... kalau tak ikut trend close semua....

cth seperti kat atas... candle high low 100pips... first touch 70 pips plz take profit... kalau ikut trend 1/3 yg telah di BE kan tu kenalah kluarkan segala tools seperti FIBO S&R RN PA dan segalanya lah utk dapatkan yg maximum...

sedikit rules yg kena dipatuhi...

[RULES1] mesti layan benda ni lebih dari 5 pair... kalau boleh cari yg IB n duduk diantara last swing FIBO D1/H4 50%-61.8%

[RULES2] sekiranya bar selepas tu menjadi bendera... kenalah tukar ke BREAKOUT nya term... nak tau sebab apa... cuba dulu then tau arr....

[RULES3] pastikan high low dalam range 1/3 daily movement... sebagai contoh GJ leh move sehari dalam 500 pips so kalau sunday bar dia dalam 180pips means valid arr utk dipermainkan...

BAR FORMATION + BREAKOUT + FIBO

Semalam masa lepak2 dgn Tokwan n learn2biz (FXMALAY Supporter) kitaorang ternampak chart ni...

kalau tarik daily FIBO dia dok kat 61.8% last swing... bendera dah start buat tinggal tunggu breakout.... ada hint bar formation kat H1 (double bar high lower close dekat swing high)...

ermm H1 last week pon ada bg hint yg lebih kurang sama tapi tak der rezeki sbb terlepas pandang...

skrg ada floating kat EG UJ(sunday bar semalam sl to BE) n ucad...

FIBO + SUNDAYBAR + BREAKOUT + S&R + ROUND NUMBER

See how that " B R E A K O U T " work... 61.8% FIBO tu daripada weekly...

kalau aku tak main sunday bar hari ni maybe aku main breakout... ermm 1:2 R:R ?

ermm anyway not bad... both work proper.... watch out... if this movement really want to go as lower as previous lowest.... we gonna see 1.4000 again to complete the "S&R flip"

anyway overall aku profit ari ni... syukur... all order close... see u tomorrow...

SUNDAY BAR 09/03/09

ini jer pair yg aku main utk hari ni... Ucad aku tak place PO BUY sbb aku ada position SELL sama tempat dgn PO BUY STOP utk IB SUNDAY... maybe aku akan placa PO tu selepas market move....

kepada sesiapa (kalau ada mengikut blog aku ni lah) yg jadikan blog ni sebagai trade call aku tak kisah... tapi rugi sendiri punya hal arrr... ok let see what IB sunday boleh bg aku ari ni....

UJ

Ermm... ni lagi best dari EJ... 3 line FIBO bercium... 2 pon ada gak....

chart tu cth yg baik utk menyatakan apa itu traffic.... tgk betul2 dari bawah... once price lepas dari traffic dia... ermm tak pandang belakang dah...

UJ utk sunday IB bergantung berapa besar movement dia... kalau besar sgt aku tak leh amik sbb dah break rules...

maybe kalau tak dpt sunday bar aku cari lain2 setup sbb nampak UJ ni cun sangat la....

EJ @ CROSS PAIR

Cross Pair ni tak stand alone.... nak dapat price EJ = EU X UJ... sesetengah org suka menjodoh2 kan 3 pair ni...

Pada aku perangai pair benda no 2 dalam trading... once kita jodoh2kan dia kita akan jadi pening... cth paling senang ramai trader kata kalau GU naik 99% biasanya EU naik... kadang2 GU naik dulu n EU still menjunam dok cari point FIBO @ S&R dia...

Jom usha2 chart EJ ni... line merah FIBO MN... line kuning FIBO W1... line pink FIBO D1....
Tgk line2 tu dok gesel2 n itulah salah satu sbb kuat aku tarik FIBO2 ni....

So current price sekarang dok area tu lagi... semoga sunday ib esk langgar 124.oo... selesa sikit aku nak letak PO bawah Round Number n S&R.... kuat sikit movement dia...

apa2 pon kalau kita layan special day ni... kadang2 kita akan jumpa hedging pair... cthnya GU amik sell EU amik buy... ermm masak... try layan n pengalaman akan mengajar kita samada free atau dgn tuistion fees (kena SL)... ahaks

UCAD

Pair ni best sikit... movement dia slow... pastu value per pips dia pon murah sikit.... line kuning tu aku tarik Montly FIBO... breakout 50%... pastu 61.8%... ermm tak leh nak touch 100%...

tgk bebetul 4 bulan dia dok buat flip kat situ... mana ang nak pi ? mana2 lah.... current market skrg 1.2863 ermm cam biasa tak bergerak...

actually aku ada satu sell position kat ucad 1.2879 since last week aku hold... SL 1.3030 (ermm 151pips)... sebut pasal TP yg aku bengang ni... aku cari 1.2500 tak dapat2... dah 2 kali amik profit 100 pips jer...

so disebabkan sunday bar... kalau market naik bermakna ucad aku akan jadi hedging sehari... critical point kat last week high... kalau turun maybe kat area daily 50%/61.8% 1.26++

let see what gonna happend next week !!

HOW TO TRADE SUNDAY BAR ?

GU salah satu pair yg aku pilih untuk esk.... wei tgk WEEKLY n DAILY FIBO... ermm cukup kuat tak 2 TF besar 61.8% ? ROUND NUMBER 1.4100 ?

Hey Buyer... watch out 1.4000... 5 weeks still cant break ? once it break we gonna see our mama at the lowest point !! how sure are u ? ahaks... kalau aku tau dah lama aku jadi jutawan....

were the best tp ? kalau aku ada buy position... the max tp should be last week high...

Hey seller.... we also have to see closely 1.4000.... coz kat sana sgtlah critical... watch out our SL at 1.4300.. ROUND NUMBER ? bounce back after 50% Daily retracement ? ermm match with 38.2% WEEKLY FIBO...

so mana nak enter ni ? mcm aku kata pasal sunday bar... pi la mana2 pon... cuma yg tak best pair ni banyak traffic jer... tapi GU traffic bleh pi ratus2 pips gak apa... sbb kalau tak traffic dia bleh gi sampai 300-350pips... apa ada hal....

current price skrg 1.4094... thx to http://www.xe.com for the current price.... so harap2 takda gap... actually ada baik buruknya main sunday bar ni bila ada gap.... baiknya kalau dia pergi kat gap dulu n spike.... kita ada signal utk tutup position sebelum dia amik SL.... buruknya ko tau ker dia nak refill jer? so mendelemakan sungguh....

so kalau takda gap senang... follow jer mana dia nak pergi... ermm berapa pair nak main ni ? ahad dah nak sampai hujung... pair pon tak abis decide lagi... zzzzzz

BEST SGT KER TC NIE ?

Best tahap dewa tu takda la.... cuma aku suka game yg ada strategy utk mengerakkan otak aku...

HEY my TC memberz... lvl 38 paling tinggi bro aku kalahkan... pada sesapa yg tapow aku skrg it ok... see u next month...

satu bestnya game ni battle stat dia (maybe semua benda) unlimited.... takda maximum... so kalau kita aktif n pandai mengatur strategy... lvl rendah makan lvl tinggi tu satu benda biasa... satu lagi benda yg boleh buat aku sedar2 dah berejam aku mengadap binatang ni adalah casino "poker n blackjack"... alamak takbleh tahan bro...

pencipta game ni cuba memberi hiburan ala2 reality kehidupan... sama ja macam kat luar... kuat judi n kalah pastu nak bayar sewa rumah pon kantoi !! hari menang 100juta... esk belum tentu duit tu dok ada dalam tangan lagi... ahaks...

arghhh... cerita2 rindu lak aku kat game2 lama yg pernah aku main... DIABLO (9/10) C & C (7/10) COUNTER STRIKE (8/10) CIVILIZATION (7/10) RO ONLINE (9/10) TC (9/10)..

ini deretan game berkomputer yg aku layan sejak tahun 1994... ops 15 tahun sudah... paling lama RO ONLINE... ops tersebut game mewah ni.... ahaks... anyway RO bukan bg aku fun jer tapi melipat gandakan bilangan kawan2....

ok chaw time nak study chart lak... hihihih

GAMES

Anda kaki games (1) ? atau anda menggunakan games untuk merehatkan minda anda (2)? kalau anda main satu atau dua games... anda golongan no 2 tapi kalau lebih maknanya anda golongan yg no 1...

the only one game yg aku layan adalah TORNCITY.... mcm game2 yg lain jugak cuma ini adalah web game yg agak rilex...

apa yg membuatkan dia rilex ? takda grafik... boleh on off sesuka hati... free online web games.... n all in one games yg agak menarik....

still mengamalkan konsep2 yg lebih kurang sama dgn games2 lain yg pernah aku main.... masih memerlukan creativity minda dalam strategy...

want to know more ? www.tcbasic.com n nak join http://www.torncity.com/register.php?XID=871936 ermm... see u there !!

NAK JADI TRADER ? CHECK URSELF !!

Dr. Janice Dorn
The Trading Doctor
December 26, 2008 from CNCB Blog

Having been a dancer since age 5, I actually thought I could dance! That was before I watched these amazing young dancers battling it out week after week; one by one, falling down, getting up, getting safe and getting booted. The field continues to narrow until, one day soon, the winner will be chosen. These people have talent, training and experience. So what separates the winners from the losers? Passion, commitment and discipline. That is what separates the winners from the losers in dancing, life and trading.

Why do so many people think they can do something with confidence, courage and competence when they cannot? The so-called overconfidence bias and other cognitive (thinking) biases are topics for another day. Today, I would like to focus on the Learning Ladder of Trading.

One day, you get up and realize that you are in a dead-end job, and just sick and tired of being sick and tired. Your buddy has been trading the markets for a few years and doing OK…not great...but getting by. Your buddy's buddy just set up a trading account, paid thousands for software, books and courses, but is not making any money. In fact, he has lost half of his initial stake. Yet, you hear others touting returns of 100-1000 percent gains a year, and the siren call of greed coupled with the idea that if they can do it, you can do it better, is too tempting to resist. I mean, how difficult can it be? You just buy the right books, get the best software, go to the right seminars, subscribe to the hottest newsletter, and--with the click, click of your mouse--buy low and sell high or buy high and sell higher or sell high and buy lower. No problem. Piece of cake.

So, you announce to your family that you are going to quit your job, become a full time trader, monies will flow effortless into your account and everything is going to change. It all seems so easy, and the seminar people are doing it, so why can't you. You are just as intelligent as the next guy.

This type of thinking borders on the delusional. Just as one cannot wake up one day and announce that one, without any formal education training (including the school of hard knocks) is going to start practicing law or medicine, one does not become a proficient trader overnight. Get over yourself, because it just isn't going to happen.

No matter how many bells, whistles, indicators, seminars and books with which you surround yourself, you have to pay your dues. You must learn that that piece of cake needs to be converted into humble pie, and that the most-successful traders got that way by first getting a Ph.D. in losses.

Trading is simple, but it is not easy. Trading is a skill and an art that takes time, patience, perseverance and courage. Successful trading and investing are skills, which combine both art and science. In order to achieve and master these skills, one must progress on a path, which is mental, emotional, physical and spiritual. For many, this is the most difficult journey ever taken. Start where you are, and understand that it is about the process, that it takes time and that the rewards are worth it if you just keep going with passion. Without passion, why bother?

There are no secrets to success. It is the result of preparation, hard work, and learning from failure… Colin L. Powell

Every trader must climb the four rungs of the Ladder of Learning, and must do this one step at a time. You cannot skip a step, but if you let your guard down, do not continue to study and practice, you can and will fall down a step or two.

What do I mean by the Ladder of Learning and the four steps? In this case (and putting other learning theories and the neuroanatomical bases for them aside for now) I am referring specifically to the four stages of trading competence:

Somewhere in your make-up, there lies sleeping, the seed of achievement which, if aroused and put into action, would carry you to heights such as you may never have hoped to attain… Napoleon Hill

(1) Unconscious Incompetence: You don't know that you don't know, and you don't know what you don't know, a.k.a. ignorance is bliss.

At this stage of your trading, you are not aware of the existence of, or need for, specific trading skills. You don’t know what you don’t know, including that you have any deficiencies (since you don't know that there are any specific trading skills). Denial may come into play here as well, as you may think that such skills are unnecessary or not useful, and all you have to do is to subscribe to a service or hotline, or jump on the next "hot" pick and money will come rolling into your account. In order to move to the next stage, you most overcome your denial and become consciously aware of your incompetence. Without taking this next step, you will not progress and no new skill will be acquired. There will be no learning. The next step is:

(2) Conscious Incompetence: You know that you don't know, but you are not entirely sure what you don't know.

At this stage, you become aware that trading is a skill, which exists, which is practiced by many and is relevant to your success. You also become aware of your deficiencies in this area by attempting to trade or practicing how to trade. This is the stage in which you begin to figure out how much you don't know. Successful traders will, at some point during this stage of the learning process, make a commitment to learn. They will make a commitment to study, to be teachable and to practice, practice and practice until you know what you don’t know. Now, you are ready to progress to:

(3) Conscious Competence: You know what you know, and you can trade, but you have to think about it.

During this stage, the skill of trading can be performed reliably, consistently and at will. However, you have to concentrate a lot, and think a lot, in order to do it. It is not second nature, nor is it automatic. At this stage, you are open totally to more learning, but you are not able to teach anyone else how to do it. The only way to proceed from this stage to the final stage is to practice more and more until— eureka — one day you have reached the stage of:

(4) Unconscious Competence: You know how to do it, and don't have to think about it. You just do it.

At this stage, the act and process of trading consolidates within the memory and pattern recognition areas of your brain…it becomes second nature. If you are really good at it, you can trade and do other things at the same time (I do not recommend this, however). Certain people at this stage are capable of teaching others, but this is not universal. In fact, it may be more difficult to teach at this stage since the skill has become largely instinctual. It is at this stage when, if someone asks you how you knew to do that, you have to pause, think and say, "I don't really know. I just did it." This is trading mastery.

There is another, final and rarely-discussed stage that is called Conscious Unconscious Competence. Those who have reached this stage are the best teachers, and they are rare and difficult to find. Find one of these people to guide and support you if you really want to learn how to trade.

Champions execute the fundamentals with unconscious competence. That means they've practiced the moves so many times in the past that they can do them almost perfectly without thinking about it. When you can perform brilliantly without thinking, you can perform at a very high level…June Jones (Head Football Coach, University of Hawaii Warriors)

Thanks and Good Trading!

- Janice

Janice Dorn, M.D., Ph.D.
www.thetradingdoctor.com

Janice Dorn, M.D., Ph.D., is a financial psychiatrist and chief global risk strategist for Ingenieux Wealth Management in Sydney, Australia. She also offers trading consulting and coaching services via her Web site, TheTradingDoctor.com.

coretan yg patut disimpan utk tatapan

Billionaire Blowups of 2008
by Luisa Kroll
Tuesday, December 23, 2008provided byForbes

Dozens of the world's wealthiest lost billions in recent months, but these 10 distinguish themselves for some of the biggest flops.

It was a dreadful year for the world's wealthiest as markets and currencies around the world tumbled.

More than 300 of the 1,125 billionaires we tallied on our annual list last March have since lost at least $1 billion; several dozen lost more than $5 billion. The 10 richest from our 2008 rankings dropped some $150 billion of wealth, dragged down by steel tycoon Lakshmi Mittal, estranged brothers Mukesh and Anil Ambani and property baron K.P. Singh, who together dropped $100 billion. America's 25 biggest billionaire losers of 2008 lost a combined $167 billion.

But even in such an awful year, the stories of a few billionaires and now former billionaires stand out as particularly dreadful.

Take David Ross, one of the U.K.'s most successful entrepreneurs. Earlier this month, Ross notified four public companies in which he was a major shareholder and director that he had borrowed against his shares to fund real estate investments that had soured. He will likely have to sell some of those stakes to pay off his debts. So far he has resigned from three of the four boards and stepped down from his post as an Olympics adviser. His fortune, which we estimated at $1.4 billion in March, is now worth about $150 million.

Bjorgolfur Gudmundsson, former chairman and a large shareholder in Landsbanki, Iceland's second largest bank, saw the firm seized in October as the worst of the credit crisis tore through the island nation. The failure wiped out his $1.1 billion fortune. He has since had to put his holding company, Hansa, into voluntary liquidation and is selling his U.K. soccer team, West Ham.

Russians were some of the biggest losers in the past year. Vladimir Lisin's Novolipetsk Iron and Steel is down three-fourths since its June peak. Dmitry Rybolovlev's fertilizer company, Uralkali, has fallen 90% since it peaked around the same time.

But those losses pale compared with the troubles facing Oleg Deripaska. In March he was the world's ninth richest person and Russia's richest man, with a fortune we estimated to be worth $28 billion. Since then Deripaska has been forced to sell shares in Canadian carmaker Magna International and German construction firm Hotchief, and had to borrow $4.5 billion from a state-controlled bank to hold on to his stake in Norilsk Nickel. He will likely sell off additional assets to avoid losing even more of his fortune, now estimated at $10 billion. Or less.

The biggest loser of all was Anil Ambani. Touted on the cover of our 2008 billionaires issue for having added $24 billion to his fortune in one year, Ambani has dropped $30 billion since then. But don't worry too much. His Reliance Entertainment is investing $500 million in a new studio venture with Steven Spielberg's DreamWorks. Plus, he remains quite wealthy, worth $12 billion That's something many others can't claim.


In Pictures: Billionaire Blowups, 2008


1. Anil Ambani

March net worth: $42 billion
Current net worth: $12 billion

The biggest billionaire gainer last March is now the year's biggest loser. Ambani lost $30 billion in the past nine months, more than anyone in the world. Stock of his telecom company dropped after his estranged brother helped scuttle a deal with African telecom MTN. It's quite an achievement in a year in which three of his fellow countrymen--estranged brother Mukesh, steel tycoon Lakshmi Mittal and Indian KP Singh, all of whom ranked earlier among the world's 10 richest--lost more than $20 billion apiece.


2. Oleg Deripaska

March net worth: $28 billion
Current net worth: less than $10 billion

Former metals trader survived Russia's gangster wars but may not withstand collapsing markets and heavy debts of at least $14 billion. Russia's one-time richest man recently received a $4.5 billion loan from a state-controlled bank in order to keep his 25% stake in Norilsk Nickel, which faced a margin call by Western banks from which he had borrowed. Other margin calls forced him to divest a $1.5 billion stake in Canadian carmaker Magna International and a $500 million stake in German construction company Hotchief. He's also selling stake in insurance company Inogsstrakh.


3. Anurag Dikshit

March net worth: $1.6 billion
Current net worth: $1 billion

Dikshit designed the software for PartyGaming's successful PartyPoker game, which allowed live gambling over the Web. He left the company and sold a chunk of shares in 2006, the year the U.S. government banned gaming. He recently pleaded guilty to violating U.S. gaming laws and agreed to forfeit $300 million. He could face up to two years in jail but apparently won't be sentenced until 2010. He has already paid $100 million of his fine and will pay the rest in two installments next year.



4. Bjorgflur Gudmundsson

March net worth: $1.1 billion
Current net worth: zero

The October collapse and government seizure of Iceland's second largest bank wiped out the $1.1 billion fortune of Gudmundsson, the bank's chairman and biggest shareholder, along with his son Thor. His holding company, Hansa, has since gone into voluntary liquidation and is looking for a buyer for its U.K. soccer team, West Ham. It's not the first time he's run into trouble. A former shipping executive, he was charged with fraud and embezzlement in relation to the firm's 1985 collapse, and was eventually found guilty on five minor counts and sentenced to 12 months' probation.

5. Luis Portillo

March net worth: $1.2 billion
Current net worth: $15 million

Spain's short-lived real estate gold rush left one of its most visible speculators holding a nearly empty bag. Portillo--who acquired real estate firm Inmocaral three years ago, then led the takeover of the larger Inmobiliaria Colonial in 2006--personally borrowed a reported $1.4 billion from more than a dozen banks during boom times, using his stock as collateral. He resigned as chairman in December 2007 and then tried to sell his stake to a Dubai fund earlier this year. When the deal fell through, he had to sell most of shares to pay debts.

Ni salah satu gambar Qul Eussoff Iskandar yg aku suka... macam yg paling comel sekalilah dalam gambar2 yg ada...

apa yg aku nampak si kecik ni dah pandai tunjuk 2 perkara yg agak menyusahkan dia bila dia besar nanti...

first dia ni dah pandai merajuk... kena marah sikit dah guling2 kat lantai... jgn terlebih dimanjakan sudah....

lagi satu sikap pendam aka dendam... bulan lepas masa dia dpt adik... opah dia terlepas pandang dia tarik air panas yg tgh berasap dalam cawan...

apa lagi kena air panas lah badan ngn tangan dia... nasib tak kena muka... sejak ari tu sampai sekarang... bila dia bukak mata jer... benda pertama sekali dia buat.... capai apa yg ada kat depan dia n pukul opah dia....

kekadang mcm lawak benda ni tgk gelagat dia... tapi bila pikir lama2... bahaya si kecik ni... buatnya esk2 kaki dendam masalah gak....

QUL EUSSOFF ISKANDAR

Ni anak aku yg first.... Nama dia Qul Eussoff Iskandar....

Lahir pada 29-09-07 jam 10 pagi.... budak yg tak banyak ragam....

dia ni kaki jalan.... kalau nampak org keluar pintu rumah dia yg laju cari kasut.... kalau kena tinggal cam biasa arr menangis bagai kena baling dari tingkat 2... ahaks

SUNDAY BAR

kebanyakkan PRO FOREX TRADER tak suka main sunday bar sebab ianya terjadi ketika 99.9% traders dunia bercuti.... but then if u can make money with it... just go for it... peduli apa ?

actually susah nak buang term2 yg kita tanamkan dalam kepala bila nak apply sunday bar sbb satu2nya hari (ISNIN) kita akan play with breaking rule day...

apa yg aku cuba sampaikan ni dah di R&D kan dan sudah di apply kan dengan hasil yg memberangsangkan.... jgn tanya berapa ya... apa yg aku cuba sampaikan it work well buat masa sekarang....

MANA NAK CARI SUNDAY BAR (BOX MERAH KAT CHART) ?

Sesetengah platform (MT4) tak der bar ni... kitaorg gunakan platform IBFX sebagai rujukan (recommended data feed in this situation)...

CAMNA NAK PLACE ORDER ?

cari high/low point bar tu.... cth chart gj diatas untuk last week (01/03/2009), high = 139.34 low = 138.09...
formula dia untuk PO SELL STOP low sunday bar - spread - 10pips = 138.09 - 7pips -10pips = 137.92 (bundarkan = 137.90)....
PO BUY STOP high sunday bar + spread +10pips = 139.34 + 17pips = 139.51 (bundarkan = 139.60)....

candle hari isnin minggu lepas (02/03/2009)D1 TF higher = 139.49 lower = 135.52 (free 238pips?)... SL (170pips) mcm biasa sama tempat kat PO... ermm kira ok la tu R&R 1:1

CAMNA NAK EXIT PROFIT ?

first touch market bg green profit (1/2 dari sl) tolong take out half position.... yg lain biar market tentukan jerlah.... masa tebaik untuk take profit yg separuh lagi masa bar merehatkan diri dari bergerak/rangging time/b4 london atau NY open

time nak close nilah masanya utk aku keluarkan basic tools seperti FIBO S&R PA BAR FORMATION dan sebagainya....

RULES ?

[RULES1] jangan buat2 berani main sunday bar sekiranya ada hari cuti (LONDON/NY/TOKYO) pada minggu tu... kalau negara lain cuti no hal... kita memerlukan momentum untuk market move... so kalau 3 negara jaws ni cuti masak la jawapnya... tak caya cubalah...

[RULES2] jangan mejangkakan pergerakkan market base pada news yg dah keluar atau akan keluar.... cthnya jpy declare something yg membawa kepada kenaikan cross pair seperti GJ... so jgnlah dok gatai2 buat PO BUY jer sbb u not the right person to judge the movement....

[RULES3] pastikan sunday bar nya high low dalam range 1/3 daily movement... sebagai contoh GJ leh move sehari dalam 500 pips so kalau sunday bar dia dalam 180pips means valid arr utk dipermainkan...

[RULES4] untuk mengurangkan risk dan mencantikkan R&R lagi.... kenalah main sekurang2nya 5 pair dgn MM yg bersesuaian....

Sentuh bab MM ni... MM aku akan automatik "breaking rule day"... just set satu amount yg sanggup di risk kan.... bahagikan dgn total sl n u can get that solid lot to play....

cam biasa anrr... kalau ada yg tertinggal nanti aku edit balik....

BREAKOUT

Untuk jangkamasa pendek (H4/D1 TF) aku copy dari komunity FX SHAMX777 Thread dari FXMALAY.com @ MALAYSIA THREAD dari ForexFactory.com... Yg ni aku ubahsuai sikit bg kesesuaian TF aku... maklumlah partimer jer....

- FIBO
- S&R
- BAR FORMATION
- LOCATION
- PA
- BREAKOUT

aku nak semadikan sikit "breakout" ni kat sini....

MANA NAK DAPAT KOTAK MERAH TU ? JOM REFER KAT CHART TU !!

[RULES 1] sekurang2nya mestilah 2 candle H4/8 candle H1... SO RULES 1 VALID !!

[RULES 2] diantara candle mestilah tak lebih 50pips perbezaan higher high / lower low...
TF H4 dalam kotak merah (3candle)... first candle high(H)=0.8861 low(L)=0.8833... 2nd candle H=o.8856 L=0.8831 n 3rd candle H=0.8851 L=0.8810..... so jom kita tgk beza point... higher high (0.8861-0.8851=10pips) n lower low (0.8833-0.8810=23pips)... SO RULES 2 VALID !!

KAT MANA NAK BUAT ORDER ?

Daripada chart.... PO BUY o.8880 n PO SELL 0.8790

[RULES 3] semua PO aku paling pantang melepak kat round number (xx:x50/xx:100/x:xx50/x:x100) n mestilah ada "0" dibelakangnya.... PO BUY o.8880 n PO SELL 0.8790 SO RULES 3 VALID !!

[RULES 4] semua order mestilah kurang 50 pips daripada higher/lower n lebih 10 pips daripada higher/lower.... (PO BUY 0.8880 N HIGHER CANDLE 0.8861=19pips/PO SELL 0.8790 N LOWER CANDLE 0.8810=20pips).... SO RULES 4 VALID !!

[RULES 5] semua PO mesti ada SL... cthnya PO BUY STOP 0.8880 SL 0.8790 N PO SELL STOP 0.8790 SL 0.8880.... SO RULES 5 VALID !!

KAT MANA NAK TAKE PROFIT ?

[RULES 6] 1/2 daripada profit mesti diambil once the green pips come to u half from ur SL.... cthkan chart tadi balik... secara logiknya sl 90pips... bila market BREAKOUT tolong amik separuh profit bila market touch +ve 45 pips/market touch 61.8% FIBO H4(yg mana sampai dulu)... n separuh lagi move to BE bila market touch 61.8% FIBO D1... sekiranya FIBO D1 n H4 sama... tolong take profit bila market touch 50%/the best take point dkt 50% FIBO D1... RULES 6 ni lebih pada PA... harap2 pengalaman mengajar aku untuk dapat tp yg maximum....

CTH PO 2 LOT... TP1 32pips TP2 62pips.... so total 94pips... so masih tak cantik lagi sbb sah2 la sl 2 lot 90pips=180pips....

so jalan terbaik main lebih dari 5 pair utk BREAKOUT.... sometime profitnya lebih dari 1:1... yg ni dah lebih pada mencari location yg terbaik...

bab location ni tak berapa perlu sbb once market move comfirm akan dapat pips sebelom dia false... tapi utk memaximumkan profit... location yg terbaik bila dapat kat fibo 50%/61.8% last swing H4/D1..

oklah... kalau rasa2 ada yg aku tertinggal nanti aku tambah...

BoLeh UntunG Ker ?

Masuk bab forex....

Benda ni nampak senang.... mana taknya... every single sen kita boleh buat dengan mengunakan hujung jari... klick mouse jer dpt duit.... betul ka? ahaks

Ada macam2 system kat dunia ni utk bermain dgn dunia berisiko nie... aku suka namakan cara aku "copy paste system".... buat apa korang nak pening2 kepala nak kaji tu kaji ni.... kat luar sana (internet) ada berjuta system yg free... just amik sikit2 combinekan... copy paste...

mcm senang tapi tak mudah sangat.... oklah stop membebel... meh kita cerita pasal system yg dah ada sekarang nie...

Untuk jangkamasa panjang (D1/W1/MN TF) aku copy dari J16 Thread dari ForexFactory.com...

- FIBO
- S&R
- BAR FORMATION
- LOCATION
- PA

Untuk jangkamasa pendek (H4/D1 TF) aku copy dari komunity FX SHAMX777 Thread dari FXMALAY.com @ MALAYSIA THREAD dari ForexFactory.com... Yg ni aku ubahsuai sikit bg kesesuaian TF aku... maklumlah partimer jer....

- FIBO
- S&R
- BAR FORMATION
- LOCATION
- PA
- BREAKOUT

Tiap2 hari Isnin aku ada special trade yg aku copy dari TOKWANDEN (http://tokwanden.blogspot.com/)... tapi aku belajar face to face arr ngn dia... boleh refer kat blog dia... aku masih consider benda ni breakout....

SUNDAY BAR ? apa yg special sangat ? just play tanpa apa2 peraturan..... once u add on some rules... then korang akan cari "special" yg lenyap sekelip mata....

Lagi satu ni nampak cukup simpel.... benda ni masih dalam testing mood lagi.... aku, tokwanden n wakli tgh practicalkan... yg ni pon agak special sbb once u play it... dun put any rules there.... IB 20:00 ada rules dia sendiri yg aku anggap sebagai stand alone rules yg kita tak leh mixkan dgn rules2 yg lain...

nak cerita satu persatu makan masa sikit.... so aku akan updated dari masa ke semasa copy paste system ni....

KOLEKSI GAMBAR FAMILY AKU

Kita orang kawin pada 17-12-2006... ermm masuk tahun ke-3 rupanya....

Nama dia Siti Aminah... ermmm... masa aku nak ngurat dia dulu memula aku tanya la nama dia...

Siti Aminah ? Mcm kencing jer awek ni... ahaks....

Bercinta setahun... Bertunang setahun n terus kawin.... yg bestnya jarak umur kitaorang 8 thn... huhuhu.... "pelaburan jangkamasa panjang" :P

Rezeki tuhan bg... baru bulan lepas dapat baby no 2.... yg first nama dia Qul Eussoff Iskandar.... adik dia Qul Qusaiy Aiman....

Nanti masuk gambar baby lak... Ok la nak g Sembahyang Jumaat... nanti sambung citer g...